G4 1446 · ICT → VPS

departs 9:13 PM CT · arrives 11:29 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to VPS?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at VPS

↓ VPS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ICT (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

VPS (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1446 · ICT → VPS

Odds over time

How late will it get to VPS?