G4 1590 · COS → AZA

departs 5:57 PM MT · arrives 6:47 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at AZA more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AZA?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ AZA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AZA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at COS

Weather at each end

COS (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AZA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1590 · COS → AZA

Odds over time

How late will it get to AZA?