Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1603
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
G4 1603 · MSO → AZA
departs 2:05 PM MT · arrives 3:52 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at AZA more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±3 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AZA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave MSO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at AZA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AZA?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
AZA is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at AZA
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSO
Weather at each end
MSO (origin)
Gusts 5 kt
Ceiling 3,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
AZA (destination)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.