Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1815
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
G4 1815 · SFB → TRI
departs 2:50 PM ET · arrives 4:39 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at TRI more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TRI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at TRI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TRI?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
2pm departures from SFB are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at TRI that day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.14 in
TRI (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.