Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1840
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
G4 1840 · SFB → AVL
departs 4:02 PM ET · arrives 5:42 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Sun 11/1 32%
Mon 11/2 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at AVL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AVL?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Gusts to 26 kt forecast at SFB that day
↓
Visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at AVL that day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
AVL (destination)
Gusts 3 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.