Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2192
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
G4 2192 · GRR → SFB
departs 4:28 PM ET · arrives 7:11 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±5 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave GRR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 26 kt forecast at SFB that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↓
GRR usually runs smoothly
↓
SFB is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
GRR (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
SFB (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.