Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 224
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
G4 224 · AVL → PGD
departs 4:17 PM ET · arrives 6:11 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 7%
Wed 10/28 10%
Thu 10/29
Sun 11/1 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±3 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at PGD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PGD?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into PGD at that hour are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at AVL that day
↓
AVL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
AVL (origin)
Gusts 3 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
PGD (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.