G4 2304 · SNA → AZA

departs 8:55 PM PT · arrives 10:22 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at AZA more than 15 minutes late?

47% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AZA?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AZA is prone to delays

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AZA

Weather at each end

SNA (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

AZA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2304 · SNA → AZA

Odds over time

How late will it get to AZA?