Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 231
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
G4 231 · PGD → AVL
departs 6:57 PM ET · arrives 8:51 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Thu 10/29
Sun 11/1 36%
Tue 11/3 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±1 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at AVL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to AVL?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↑
6pm departures from PGD are often late
↓
Visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at AVL that day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PGD (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.04 in
AVL (destination)
Gusts 3 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.