Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2468
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
G4 2468 · MDW → PGD
departs 10:08 AM CT · arrives 2:14 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at PGD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PGD?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 20% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PGD (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.