Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 253
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
G4 253 · AVL → SFB
departs 1:41 PM ET · arrives 3:22 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Sat 10/31 12%
Sun 11/1 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±6 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at SFB that day
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
AVL (origin)
Gusts 3 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
SFB (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.