Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 256
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
G4 256 · AVL → SFB
departs 6:23 PM ET · arrives 8:04 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Sun 11/1 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±3 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 26 kt forecast at SFB that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into SFB at that hour are often late
↓
Visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at AVL that day
Weather at each end
AVL (origin)
Gusts 3 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
SFB (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.