G4 2598 · TYS → PIE

departs 9:07 PM ET · arrives 10:58 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PIE?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into PIE at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIE

Weather at each end

TYS (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PIE (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2598 · TYS → PIE

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIE?