Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2604
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
G4 2604 · MEM → PIE
departs 3:05 PM CT · arrives 6:09 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±3 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at PIE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIE?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 45% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MEM
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MEM (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PIE (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.