Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2612
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
G4 2612 · PIE → ROA
departs 10:30 AM ET · arrives 12:37 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at ROA more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ROA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at ROA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ROA?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at PIE that day
↑
This flight has been late 18% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ROA
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
PIE (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.08 in
ROA (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 4 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.