Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2898
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
G4 2898 · SFB → BMI
departs 6:04 PM ET · arrives 7:39 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at BMI more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BMI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at BMI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BMI?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Gusts to 26 kt forecast at SFB that day
↑
6pm departures from SFB are often late
↓
BMI usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.14 in
BMI (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.