Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2992
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
G4 2992 · SRQ → AVL
departs 6:11 AM ET · arrives 8:02 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Sun 11/1 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.3d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at AVL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to AVL?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at AVL that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 15% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from SRQ are usually not late
Weather at each end
SRQ (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.01 in
AVL (destination)
Gusts 3 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.