Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3013
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
G4 3013 · SRQ → SDF
departs 5:38 PM ET · arrives 7:58 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at SDF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SDF?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
5pm departures from SRQ are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SDF
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SRQ (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
SDF (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.