Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3015
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
G4 3015 · AVL → SRQ
departs 8:40 AM ET · arrives 10:35 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at SRQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SRQ?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at AVL that day
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↓
8am departures from AVL are usually not late
↓
Arrivals into SRQ at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
AVL (origin)
Gusts 3 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
SRQ (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.