Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3036
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
G4 3036 · SFB → TYS
departs 3:01 PM ET · arrives 4:46 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at TYS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TYS?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 26 kt forecast at SFB that day
↑
This flight has been late 16% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.14 in
TYS (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.