G4 3151 · AZA → FNT

departs 4:10 PM MT · arrives 10:53 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at FNT more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FNT?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AZA

↓ FNT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AZA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FNT (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 3151 · AZA → FNT

Odds over time

How late will it get to FNT?