Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 344 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

G4 344 · RFD → BNA

departs 1:11 PM CT · arrives 2:50 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ 1pm departures from RFD are usually not late

Weather at each end

RFD (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 344 · RFD → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?