Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 498
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
G4 498 · MEM → FLL
departs 7:50 PM CT · arrives 11:18 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Sun 11/1 45%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±2 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 54% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MEM
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
Weather at each end
MEM (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.29 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.