Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 529
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
G4 529 · FLL → MEM
departs 5:32 PM ET · arrives 7:01 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Sun 11/1 16%
Mon 11/2 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at MEM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MEM?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↑
5pm departures from FLL are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MEM
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MEM (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.