G4 542 · PGD → GRR

departs 6:44 PM ET · arrives 9:39 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GRR?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from PGD are often late

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↓ GRR usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PGD (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GRR (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 542 · PGD → GRR

Odds over time

How late will it get to GRR?