Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 602
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Today
G4 602 · PGD → IND
departs 7:36 PM ET · arrives 10:13 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 15h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at IND more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IND?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IND
↓
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at PGD that day
Weather at each end
PGD (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IND (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.