Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 664 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

G4 664 · AZA → GTF

departs 5:30 AM MT · arrives 9:00 AM MT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at GTF more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GTF?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at GTF

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AZA

Weather at each end

AZA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GTF (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 664 · AZA → GTF

Odds over time

How late will it get to GTF?