Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 877
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
G4 877 · PGD → BLV
departs 5:20 PM ET · arrives 7:02 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at BLV more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BLV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at BLV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BLV?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at PGD that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BLV
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PGD (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
BLV (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.