Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 888
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
G4 888 · ROC → PGD
departs 5:17 PM ET · arrives 8:16 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±3 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave ROC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at PGD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PGD?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 41% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ROC
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ROC (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PGD (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.