Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
GOJET · FLIGHT G7 4193
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
G7 4193 · GSO → ORD
departs 10:45 AM ET · arrives 11:44 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Wed 10/28 17%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 19%
Sat 10/31 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±2 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave GSO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↑
This route's recent record
↓
GSO usually runs smoothly
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at GSO that day
Weather at each end
GSO (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.