G7 4388 · CID → ORD

departs 6:46 PM CT · arrives 8:02 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from CID are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ CID usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CID (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.09 in

ORD (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G7 4388 · CID → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?