Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

GOJET · FLIGHT G7 4391 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

G7 4391 · EWR → RIC

departs 9:57 PM ET · arrives 11:20 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 44h before departure

Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RIC?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 9pm departures from EWR are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at RIC that day

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RIC (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G7 4391 · EWR → RIC

Odds over time

How late will it get to RIC?