Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

LATAM BRASIL · FLIGHT JJ 8187 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

JJ 8187 · MCO → GRU

departs 10:12 PM ET · arrives 7:35 AM -03

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 47h before departure

Arrive at GRU more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±2 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GRU?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GRU

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.15 in

GRU (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

JJ 8187 · MCO → GRU

Odds over time

How late will it get to GRU?