tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

JAPAN AIRLINES · FLIGHT JL 785 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

JL 785 · HNL → NRT

departs 1:20 PM HT · arrives 4:55 PM JST
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Arrive at NRT more than 15 minutes late?
20% chance · ±4 pts −7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.8d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to NRT?

  1. On time or early
    78%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.