Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DENVER AIR CONNECTION · FLIGHT KG 510 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

KG 510 · DEN → LNK

departs 9:50 AM MT · arrives 12:56 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 38h before departure

Arrive at LNK more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LNK?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 9am departures from DEN are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LNK

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LNK (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling9,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

KG 510 · DEN → LNK

Odds over time

How late will it get to LNK?