Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DENVER AIR CONNECTION · FLIGHT KG 510 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

KG 510 · LNK → MCK

departs 12:55 PM CT · arrives 2:19 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 42h before departure

Arrive at MCK more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCK?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LNK

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCK

Weather at each end

LNK (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling9,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCK (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

KG 510 · LNK → MCK

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCK?