Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DENVER AIR CONNECTION · FLIGHT KG 5414 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

KG 5414 · CVN → DEN

departs 12:25 PM MT · arrives 1:59 PM MT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 42h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±3 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ 12pm departures from CVN are usually not late

Weather at each end

CVN (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.02 in

DEN (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

KG 5414 · CVN → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?