Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DENVER AIR CONNECTION · FLIGHT KG 5745 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

KG 5745 · ORD → MKG

departs 8:58 AM CT · arrives 10:45 AM ET

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 AM ET · 50h before departure

Arrive at MKG more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MKG?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MKG

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Arrivals into MKG at that hour are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MKG (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

KG 5745 · ORD → MKG

Odds over time

How late will it get to MKG?