Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DENVER AIR CONNECTION · FLIGHT KG 5775 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

KG 5775 · ORD → MKG

departs 6:39 PM CT · arrives 8:45 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 46h before departure

Arrive at MKG more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±2 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MKG?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Arrivals into MKG at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MKG (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

KG 5775 · ORD → MKG

Odds over time

How late will it get to MKG?