Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

KLM · FLIGHT KL 615 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

KL 615 · AMS → PDX

departs 10:25 AM CET · arrives 12:14 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 30h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 10am departures from AMS are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AMS

↓ PDX usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AMS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

KL 615 · AMS → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?