Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
CAYMAN AIRWAYS · FLIGHT KX 203
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
KX 203 · TPA → GCM
departs 4:37 PM ET · arrives 5:35 PM EST
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Sun 11/1 13%
Mon 11/2 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at GCM more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GCM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at GCM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to GCM?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from TPA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
KX's recent on-time record
↓
Arrivals into GCM at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.06 in
GCM (destination)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.