Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

JIN AIR · FLIGHT LJ 915 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

LJ 915 · ICN → GUM

departs 7:28 PM KST · arrives 12:56 AM ChST

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 34h before departure

Arrive at GUM more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GUM?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ICN

↓ Arrivals into GUM at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ICN (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GUM (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

LJ 915 · ICN → GUM

Odds over time

How late will it get to GUM?