tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AVIANCA COSTA RICA · FLIGHT LR 653 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

LR 653 · JFK → GUA

departs 3:27 AM ET · arrives 6:14 AM CST
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 50h before departure
Arrive at GUA more than 15 minutes late?
11% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.1d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to GUA?

  1. On time or early
    88%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    <1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.