Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3335
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
MQ 3335 · SAW → ORD
departs 2:55 PM +03 · arrives 8:18 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Wed 10/28 12%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 18%
Sat 10/31 26%
Sun 11/1 21%
Mon 11/2 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±2 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave SAW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
2pm departures from SAW are usually not late
Weather at each end
SAW (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.