Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3383 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

MQ 3383 · DFW → AMA

departs 1:22 PM CT · arrives 2:45 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AMA?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AMA

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility8.66667 mi Precipnone

AMA (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling8,933 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3383 · DFW → AMA

Odds over time

How late will it get to AMA?