Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3391
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
MQ 3391 · HOU → DFW
departs 8:23 PM CT · arrives 9:34 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 33%
Sun 11/1 24%
Mon 11/2 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±5 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
8pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.