Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3461
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
MQ 3461 · DFW → GRK
departs 1:49 PM CT · arrives 2:48 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 15%
Sat 10/31 13%
Sun 11/1 16%
Mon 11/2 18%
Tue 11/3 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at GRK more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GRK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at GRK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to GRK?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at GRK that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
↓
GRK usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 8.66667 mi Precip none
GRK (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.