Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3541
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
MQ 3541 · DFW → MAF
departs 9:14 PM CT · arrives 10:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 30%
Sat 10/31 18%
Sun 11/1 26%
Mon 11/2 24%
Tue 11/3 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±4 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at MAF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to MAF?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 367 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MAF that day
↑
9pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MAF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
MAF (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 367 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.58 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.