Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3611
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
MQ 3611 · DFW → ABI
departs 9:18 PM CT · arrives 10:18 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 25%
Sat 10/31 16%
Sun 11/1 20%
Mon 11/2 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at ABI more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at ABI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ABI?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
9pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at ABI that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
ABI usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
ABI (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.20 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.