Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3651
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
MQ 3651 · DFW → LBB
departs 7:26 PM CT · arrives 8:39 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 28%
Sat 10/31 21%
Sun 11/1 25%
Mon 11/2 26%
Tue 11/3 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±8 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at LBB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LBB?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 633 ft forecast at LBB that day
↑
7pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
This flight has been late 14% of the time recently
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 4,500 ft
Visibility 7.66667 mi
Precip 0.02 in
LBB (destination)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 567 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.